How to read a smart-money alert in ten seconds
Every SpotX alert carries the same six fields. What each one should change about your decision and what none of them promise.
Pattern tells you what happened. Wallet count tells you how much to trust it. The hash tells you it is real.
Chain
Which network the flow happened on. This is a practicality check before anything else: if you cannot execute there in the next few minutes, the rest of the alert is reading material, not a trade.
Pattern
Rotation, inflow, early exit or distribution. This is the single most important field, because it tells you what kind of decision you are looking at. Inflow and rotation are about entering. Early exit and distribution are about whether to still be holding.
Score
A ranking, from published inputs, of how strong this instance of the pattern is relative to others. It is not a probability and it is not a forecast, treating it as either is the most common mistake people make with any scored feed. The right use is comparative: on a busy morning, it tells you which two of nine alerts deserve your attention first. The full weighting behind every score is public on our methodology page.
Wallet count and independent participants
Two numbers, and the second matters more. Six wallets that turn out to be one desk is one opinion. Four wallets that appear to be four separate actors is a pattern. When those numbers diverge sharply, size down.
Notional
How much capital moved. Useful as context, dangerous as a headline. Large size in a thin token is often a liquidity event rather than a conviction event, which is why our filter looks at the two together rather than rewarding size on its own.
The transaction hash
The field nobody looks at and the only one that makes the rest of it accountable. Paste it into any explorer and you can see the actual transaction, its block, and its timestamp, and compare that timestamp to when our alert reached you. Nothing in a SpotX alert asks you to take our word for it.
What an alert does not tell you
Whether the token is worth owning, what your size should be, or where your stop belongs. Flow is one input into a decision that remains yours. The traders who get the most out of this feed are the ones who already had a process and used our Live Stream to find candidates for it faster, not the ones looking for something to follow.
If you want to see how these six fields turn into an actual playbook rather than a screen full of numbers, the active traders solution page walks through that mapping directly.
Frequently asked questions
What if wallet count and independent participants disagree?
Trust the independent participants number more. Wallet count alone can be inflated by one actor splitting size across addresses. Independent participants is what's left after our entity resolution collapses coordinated wallets into a single actor, so a big gap between the two numbers is itself information: it usually means less genuine conviction than the raw wallet count suggests.
Does a higher score mean higher accuracy?
No. Score ranks how strong this instance of a pattern looks relative to others we've published, based on inputs like wallet track record and pattern strength. It is not a hit-rate prediction for that specific alert. Use it to prioritize which alerts to look at first, not as a stated probability of the trade working out.
Can I verify an alert without trusting SpotX?
Yes. Every alert carries a transaction hash. Paste it into any block explorer and you can see the raw transaction yourself, its block, its timestamp, and the wallets involved, independent of anything we say about it. That's the point of including it.
Why does the transaction hash matter more than the score?
Because the score is our interpretation and the hash is the underlying fact. The score can be wrong or miscalibrated. The transaction either happened as described or it didn't, and the hash lets you check that directly instead of taking the alert's framing on faith.