What actually happened 24 hours later.
Each chain judged on its own record.
Loading measured outcomes…
Returns are direction-normalised and net of a per-chain execution cost estimate. A hit rate is withheld until a chain has at least 30 measured signals in the window; until then the sample count is shown instead.
Source transaction to published signal.
This page exists so you can judge us on measured outcomes rather than claims. Numbers appear only once there is enough data behind them; until then you see the sample count instead of a percentage.
The rules we grade ourselves against.
Entry is the pool price at publication, exit is the same pool 24 hours later. Prices are frozen at publication, so a row cannot be re-baselined after the fact.
Returns are first normalised for direction — a sell signal is right when price falls — then a per-chain execution cost estimate is subtracted. Above +2% net is a hit, below −2% net is a miss, and everything between is chop. Chop is its own bucket and never folded into wins.
Grading runs on every published signal. Rows whose price source cannot be verified across both reads are excluded rather than estimated, which is why the measured count is lower than the published count.
Anyone can screenshot a winner. Edge is a distribution, not a highlight reel.
A service that hides its misses is publishing marketing, not data. Ours sit in the same table as the hits.
Score-band hit rates let you size to conviction. A signal in the 70 band is not a signal in the 90 band, and the data should show that.
We publish sample sizes and confidence intervals, and withhold a hit rate until there are at least 30 measured signals behind it.
Information service. Not investment advice. SpotX surfaces on-chain signals for research and execution workflows. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and quoted returns exclude fees, slippage and execution constraints.
Returns are simple unannualized price changes measured from the publication price against the same liquidity pool at +24h. They are unlevered, exclude fees, slippage and execution constraints, and do not represent the return of any actual portfolio. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Scores describe the strength of the observed setup, not the probability of a favourable outcome.